The Bangkok Condo market has changed drastically over the last 15 years or so and we have seen an overall increase in the price of condo developments across the various districts of Thailand’s capital city. Many factors have contributed to this overall increase in price such as the Thai economy, the government, and the development of Bangkok itself as a major city. The below provides some insight into statistical trends, and also contributing factors as to why the condo market has developed in this way.

曼谷的Condo市場在近15年來有戲劇性的變化,我們觀察到身為泰國首都的曼谷,總體價格在多個區域都有所上升。總體價格的上升是由很多因素所促成,像是泰國的經濟、政府及曼谷作為首都城市的發展。以下就提供幾個統計上的數據,以及說明促成這個現象的因素。

A statistical analysis of the Bangkok housing market

曼谷住宅市場統計數據分析

Generic statistics relating to the Thai economy and house prices



與泰國經濟及住宅價格相關之一般統計數據

– Thailand’s housing price index rose from 91.60 in 2008, up to 134.90 in 2016

泰國住宅價格指數,從2008年的91.60成長到2016年的134.90

– Condo prices rose at a lesser rate of 4.7% in 2016 from 8.9% in 2015.

Condo價格成長,2016年為4.7%,比2015年的8.9%稍低

– Average monthly income has risen from 8,500 THB in 2008, up to 14,000 in 2017

平均月收入從2008年的8,500泰銖漲到2017年的14,000泰銖

– Since 2006, nationwide interest rates have dropped from highs of 5% down to current rates of 1.5%

從2006年開始,全國利率從5%降至1.5%

– Since 2000, Thailand’s Real GDP Growth has yo-yoed consistently

Specific statistics relating to historical condo prices (per square meter)

從2000年開始,泰國的真實GDP成長持續出現溜溜球效應,精確的數據與Condo的價格(/平米)歷史數據有關

– Silom District: Year 2000 – 76,000 THB / Year 2017 – 155,000 THB

– Lumpini District: Year 2000 – 104,000 THB / Year 2017 – 195,000 THB

– Sukhumvit District: Year 2000 – 72,000 THB / Year 2017 – 140,000

– Riverside District: Year 2000 – 78,000 THB / Year 2017 – 165,000 THB

What factors have affected the Bangkok condo market in recent years?

什麼因素影響了近年的曼谷condo市場?

There is not one single factor that has contributed to the relative increase of Bangkok’s condominium prices; instead, we have a series of factors that have resulted in prime conditions for property development and an increase in the value of properties. Some of the main contributing factors are listed below:

沒有任何一個單一因素可以促成曼谷Condo價格的成長,取而代之的,是一系列的因素造成不動產市場的主要環境,以及不動產價格的上漲。以下就以條列式的方式來說明主要的促成因素:

– Stability of the government 政府的穩定性

– Foreign investment 外資投入

– The Thai economy and economic growth 泰國經濟及經濟成長

– The mass-transit system in Bangkok 曼谷大眾運輸系統

– Population growth 人口成長

– Available disposable income 可支配收入成長

– A change in attitudes towards condo developments 對於Condo發展的心態轉變

 

We can see that the development of Bangkok in itself has played a huge part in the cost of condos and their availability. Since the early 2000’s this city has grown exponentially and a great amount of investment from the government and foreign interests has meant the population in Bangkok has increased (some sources state the population could rise to 14 million by 2025), and the subsequent need for residential buildings. Whilst political unrest in 2006 and 2008 did result in economic stagnation, the country has since recovered and Bangkok has again prospered.

我們不難觀察到,曼谷自身的成長在Condo的購入成本及可獲得性上面,扮演了重大的角色。從2000年初開始,這個城市就不斷加速成長,政府及外資投入的大量資本,意味著曼谷人口的成長(有數據甚至預測,2025年,曼谷人口可能成長到14,000,000人),以及隨之而來的住宅建築需求。雖然2006至2008年,政治的動盪導致了經濟的停滯,但泰國已經從混亂中恢復,曼谷也再次的繁榮熱鬧了起來。

Aside from the improvement of the Thai economy and investment in Bangkok, the city has also seen the development of the mass-transit system, which greatly increased the population’s ability to travel to work and move within the confines of the city. Many Thai Nationals moved within the city centre and made use of the improved transport links – this meant that the need for condos and residential developments increased.

除了泰國經濟和曼谷投資的成長,也能看見這個城市在大眾運輸上的發展,大大的增加了人口在市區移動或通勤的能力。很多的泰國人遷移到曼谷市中心,並且搭乘改善過後的運輸系統,這也顯示出Condo和住宅發展的需求有所成長。

From the information displayed we can see that condo prices have risen by as much as 100% since the early 2000’s, but this increase is slowly tapering off overall, as economic growth settles and the property market reaches its equilibrium. Prices in the luxury condo market continue to flourish. More on that in the future!

從這些資料中可以發現,Condo的價格從2000年開始,已經成長了100%,目前上漲的幅度正漸漸趨緩,經濟成長持平,不動產市場也來到一個均衡點。但高端Condo市場仍持續飛漲,未來還有機會更高。

資料來源:http://www.findthaiproperty.com/

 

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